April 14, 2020
The CV19 Lab Testing Dashboard powered by hc1 shows people who are working to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 the latest trends in COVID-19 lab testing data at the national, state, county, and local level. Request access to this free public health service at CV19dashboard.org
The data in the CV19 Lab Testing Dashboard represents approximately 40% of all tests performed in the United States to date. Approximately 1,038,000 tests over the last 30 days have been analyzed, graphed, trended, and mapped nationally, by state, by county, and by public use microdata area (PUMA) in both National and State Deep Dive dashboards.
My analysis of the national dashboard shows these emerging and continuing trends:
The bottom line is that we would expect to see a continued high rate of ER visits, hospitalizations, ICU transfers, ventilator use, and deaths nationally over the next 8 to 21 days at least. Deaths will be the lagging indicator as it happens late in the typical disease course. Variability between different states and different counties however remains extremely variable with %Detection (+) Rates varying from 0% in many rural counties to 55.4% in Nassau County, NY. There is a flattening out of the curve nationally in the trend of percentage of test results where COVID-19 is detected [%Detected (+)] to indicate the current level of mitigation is slowing the rate of pandemic infection.
To view how these trends are showing up at the local level, drill into the State Deep Dive dashboards for your area. If you see increasing % Detected rates, your community should expect to see a rising wave of severely clinically ill patients from COVID-19 over the next 8 to 21 days.
The more local data that is represented, the more sensitive and specific the trend analysis will be on a local level. I, therefore, encourage all COVID-19 testing center labs to join the CV19 Lab Testing Dashboard Coalition where together we can save lives by mitigating the spread of COVID-19.
About the Author
Peter J. Plantes, M.D. has three decades of experience creating service and delivery solutions that enhance marketplace success and clinical performance for clinical practice groups, academic faculty group practices, hospitals, health systems, and health care organizations. His success stems from his ability to blend and synergize clinical knowledge, operational expertise, financial performance, and collaborative methodology with his deep commitment to serve patients and improve the health of the community. Dr. Plantes has served in CEO & Physician Executive roles for a number of large healthcare clinical delivery networks including regional community networks, academic practices, national hospital networks, international health systems (Chile, Colombia), and corporate managed care/HMO networks.